In the latest C-Voter opinion poll conducted to gauge the mood of the nation, the NDA looks set to return to power if the General Elections were held today. With the Lok Sabha elections only a year away, the C-Voter poll comes as a reassurance to the BJP and a blow to the Congress after the results of Gujarat elections gave some hope to the opposition of a possible 2019 comeback.
The NDA is projected to gain 5 seats in Bihar after Nitish Kumar’s Gharwapsi to the NDA with the UPA being relegated to 4 seats.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Bihar | NDA projected to gain 5 seats over 2014 tally; UPA projected to lose 3 seats
Voteshare: NDA to gain with 49.9% (projection) vs 39.2% in 2014; UPA to gain with 34.5% projection vs 30.3% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxoMbs pic.twitter.com/3DDi1rsHyE
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
Moreover, the NDA is projected to retain all the 7 seats in Delhi.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Delhi | NDA projected to retain all 7 seats
Voteshare: NDA projection at 46.3% vs 46.4% in 2014; UPA to gain to 21.2% vs 15.1% in 2014; AAP to dip to 29.9% vs 32.9% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxoMbs pic.twitter.com/6L0FNzrF2r
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Haryana, the NDA is projected to up its seatshare by 1 and win 8 seats.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Haryana | 8-seat projection for NDA. INLD projected to lose 1 seat
Voteshare projection: NDA to gain with 44.0% vs 40.9% in 2014; UPA to get 23.2% vs 22.9% in 2014; INLD to get 24.6% vs 24.4% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxGnA2 pic.twitter.com/P0zywnabOg
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Himachal Pradesh, the NDA is projected to retain all of its 4 seats from 2014. In Karnataka, with the Assembly Elections looming, the NDA is projected to win 5 more seats than it won in 2014 with the UPA to win 4 seats less.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Karnataka | NDA to gain 5 more seats vs 2014; UPA loses 4 seats vs 2014
Voteshare projection: NDA to gain to 45.2% vs 43.1% in 2014; UPA to dip to 36.5% vs 40.9% in 2014; JDS to gain to 15.6% vs 11.0% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxGnA2 pic.twitter.com/1wqYvdsqCF
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Maharashtra, the NDA is projected to win 44 seats and the UPA is expected to drop to 4. In addition, the NDA is projected to win all the seats from Mizoram, Meghalaya, Manipur and Nagaland. The NDA is projected to make massive gains in Odisha with the alliance expected to win 12 out of the 20 seats from the state and the BJD to suffer huge losses and be restricted to 8 seats.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Odisha | NDA to gain 12 seats; BJD seats to drop to 8 vs 20 in 2014
Voteshare: BJP to gain to 39.0% vs 26.8 in 2014; UPA to dip to 17.2% vs 21.5% in 2014; BJD to dip to 33.4% vs 44.1% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxGnA2 pic.twitter.com/PLAGXrEezX
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Chhatisgarh, however, the UPA is projected to make a gain of 6 seats with the NDA reduced to 4 out of 11 seats in the state.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Chhattisgarh | UPA projected to gain 6 more seats than 2014; NDA’s seatshare to dip
Voteshare projection: NDA to dip to 43.7% vs 48.8 in 2014; UPA to gain to 44.5% vs 38.4% in 2014 https://t.co/lpnVZxoMbs pic.twitter.com/oYbq9Lj6XK
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Gujarat, the NDA is set to lose 3 seats as the UPA is projected to win 3 seats where it failed to open its account in 2014. In Jharkhand, the UPA is projected to take its tally to 6 from 2 with the NDA to lose 5 seats and drop to 7 from 12.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Gujarat | NDA to lose 3 seats; UPA to gain 3 seats
Voteshare projection: NDA to dip to 54.0% vs 59.1% in 2014; UPA projected to get 33.2% vs 33.8% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxoMbs pic.twitter.com/nS7UG4qBGa
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Madhya Pradesh, NDA is projected to drop to 23 from 27 in 2014 with the UPA to win 6 compared to 2 the last time around.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Madhya Pradesh | NDA to lose 4 seats vs 2014; UPA to gain 4 seats
Voteshare projection: NDA to dip to 49.3% vs 54.1% in 2014; UPA to gain to 36.8% vs 34.9% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxGnA2 pic.twitter.com/lPWRdoKONb
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Punjab, the UPA is expected to make massive gains and up its tally by 6 and win 9 seats.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Punjab | UPA projected to gain 6 seats; NDA to lose 4 (BJP 1, SAD 3); AAP to lose 2 seats
Voteshare: Dip projected for NDA; gain projected for UPA, AAP https://t.co/lpnVZxGnA2 pic.twitter.com/PBvJ2Sd1Zs
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
In Rajasthan, the NDA is projected to win 20 seats where it won all 25 seats in 2014 with the UPA winning in 5 seats. In Uttar Pradesh, the NDA is expected to secure 60 seats compared to 73 last time around and UPA is projected to take its tally up to 18.
#NationalApprovalRatings projection for Rajasthan | UPA projected to gain 5 seats; NDA to retain 20 seats vs 25 in 2014
Voteshare: NDA to dip to 47.1% from 54.9% in 2014; UPA to rise to 34.9% from 30.4% in 2014https://t.co/lpnVZxGnA2 pic.twitter.com/85zt1mcxvB
— Republic (@republic) January 18, 2018
The state-wise breakup of the projected seats are as follow :
All in all, the NDA is projected to win 335 seats if the elections were to be held today, just 1 seat less than in 2014. The NDA is expected to make up for its losses in the HIndi Belt with the gains it is expected to make in Eastern States and in Karnataka. The C-Voter Poll also remarks that 66% of the voters prefer Narendra Modi as the Prime Minister of the country while only 28% of the voters want Rahul Gandhi to lead the nation. Therefore, if the NDA could again transform the battle for 2019 as a head to head war between Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi, its return to power is relatively assured.
