Far-Left propagandist website, News Click, has come out with a new set of projections. Earlier, it had given the NDA only 66 seats and the UPA 167 for the first three phases based on projections of Assembly Election results.
As per the current predictions based on “past election results, current alliances and losses due to discontent with the Modi government”, the NDA will win 166 seats while the UPA will end up with 200.
The report states, “These figures have been projected from a detailed state by state analysis of past voting trends, current alliances, and attribution of vote swings away from either of the alliances or parties based on a host of governance-related factors, both at the Centre and the states. These projections are not based on exit or opinion polls.”
It appears utterly stupid and bizarre to make such projections based on previous elections results. The circumstances surrounding the 2019 General Elections are unique in that the BJP is up against an assortment of parties which suffer inherent contradictions. Therefore, it is naive to assume that there will be a complete transfer of votes.
The numbers in itself appear incredulous. The AAP is given 5 seats, one wonders these seats are going to come from. The Left Front is given 20 seats, one has similar musings about these numbers as well. The Trinamool Congress is given 32, considering current circumstances, it appears to be too much of an exaggeration. Even the 200 given to the UPA seems to be a vast overestimation.
The report states further, “The main reason for this outcome – which is factored into the data analysis – is the failure of the Modi government on multiple counts including such pan-Indian issues like joblessness, farmers’ falling incomes and their continued indebtedness, refusal to provide respectable wages to workers, inability to curb corruption, free play of cronyism, damage to constitutional institutions, anti-Muslim stance and encouragement of Hindu fanaticism, open abetment of upper caste oppression against dalits and snatching away of land rights of adivasis. The privatisation of such public services as education and healthcare and selling off the public sector to private entities have also angered people.”
These are not an objective analysis of events but delusions of an overly optimistic mind. The projections appear to be based not on an honest evaluation of circumstances but on the outlet’s own fantasies.
It certainly appears whoever conjured these numbers either lives in a bubble of his own making or is crazy enough to believe that readers will actually buy into it.